🔍 POST-MORTEM
27 Eylül 2026TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez
Kart: Adana, İstanbul
🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 6/17 — %35
(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)
AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu
K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)
| ayak | bandımız | kazanan | AGF | sonuç | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | Adana-K1 | IVAR · FOREVER DALLAS · KING SERGEN | TAHSİN ALP | 7 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K2 | EL REY ESCORPİON · KING GÖKALP · MALCOOBA · SHIRIN WARRIOR · QUEEN SEÇİL · NATIONAL HERO · REALISTIC GIRL · TAKEACHANCEONME · EL ALACRAN · GO HER LED · GIVE ME A SECOND | EL ALACRAN | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K3 | ŞAFAK BEY · SİYAH PENÇE · İSKİT ALP · BAŞARAN TAY | AZERBAYCANLI | 5 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K4 | MİRANHAN · SİGNOMİ · HERANİ | HERANİ | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K5 | GILMOUR · SMALL BURGAZ · ROSAS DEL ROSEDAL · LION ROBERO · DREAM CHASER · EL LEON | GILMOUR | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K6 | TREASURE ISLAND | TREASURE ISLAND | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K7 | ARSLAN OĞLU · AĞASAÇAN · BÜYÜKATAK | ARSLAN OĞLU | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K8 | YAĞTU · YENAL · MERHAMET | — | — | ⬜ sonuç yok |
| K | Adana-K9 | ROYAL ROMANCE | — | — | ⬜ sonuç yok |
| K | İstanbul-K1 | EFLAH · LİDERKATI · UFKUN ÖTESİ · SAADIN KASIRGASI · O BİR ÇELİK · AĞA TURBO | UFKUN ÖTESİ | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K2 | BÜYÜK DESTAN · KARANLIK · ÇINARALTI KIZI | ALTIN ADAM | 3 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K3 | ORMELLO · SHEEP STEALER · ROSARIO · PEVRUL · ASRA İNAT · SÜPER HAN | ORMELLO | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K4 | ROZA HANIM · BESNİ · NİLPERİ | KARAKÖPRÜ ATEŞİ | 4 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K5 | BALLIBİKE · HOŞBAKIŞ · CAN ŞEHRİBAN · HAREM GÜZELİ | HAREM GÜZELİ | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K6 | GIANT WAVE | ANSHBA SKY | 2 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K7 | CHARABANC · WHIZBANG · UPAMECANO · SPECIAL MAN | WHIZBANG | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K8 | ÇİLDUTAY · EFE KAPTAN · SILVIA · ARZUELA · SAROSLU · BİGASİ · CİHANDERE · ÖZ GÜMÜŞ · BATAGAY · VARDAKOSTA | SAROSLU | 6 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K9 | GOLDRAKHAN · LORD OF DRAGON · TURAMUN | TURAMUN | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K10 | ETSUKO · TRUELY · RABOVO | ETSUKO | 4 | ✅ BANTTA |
M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 12/17 — %71
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)
(tüm ayaklar dahil: 12/17 — %71)
KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü
- Adana · K1→K6 — 1. ayakta düştü (Adana-K1 · TAHSİN ALP)
- Adana · K4→K9 — ⏳ HENÜZ TAMAMLANMADI (4/6 ayak sonuçlandı, buraya kadar hepsi bantta)
- İstanbul · K1→K6 — 2. ayakta düştü (İstanbul-K2 · ALTIN ADAM)
- İstanbul · K5→K10 — 2. ayakta düştü (İstanbul-K6 · ANSHBA SKY)
SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu
Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?
| ayak | AGF-1 | bantta mıydı | kazandı mı |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana-K1 | Othello | ❌ DIŞARIDA | — |
| Adana-K2 | Malcooba | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K3 | Si̇yah Pençe | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K4 | Si̇gnomi̇ | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K5 | Gilmour | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Adana-K6 | Treasure Island | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Adana-K7 | Büyükatak | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K8 | Yağtu | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K9 | Royal Romance | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K1 | O Bi̇r Çeli̇k | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K10 | Truely | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K2 | Karanlik | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K3 | Ormello | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K4 | Besni̇ | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K5 | Harem Güzeli̇ | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K6 | Giant Wave | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K7 | Charabanc | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K8 | Batagay | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K9 | Goldrakhan | ✅ | — |
Bugün: AGF-1 1 ayakta bant dışındaydı, 0 tanesi kazandı.
(n küçük — yön göstergesi, mühür değil. v3.1 §10)
🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi
Atılan TEK: 1/2 (beklenti ~%29 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))
| ayak | TEK | p | karar | sonuç | kazanan | kazanan AGF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbul-K9 | GOLDRAKHAN | 0.6551 | TEK-ADAY | — | TURAMUN DB SKG SK | 2 |
| İstanbul-K7 | CHARABANC | 0.5724 | BANT | — | WHIZBANG K | 2 |
| Adana-K7 | ARSLAN OĞLU | 0.5081 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| Adana-K6 | TREASURE ISLAND | 0.4606 | TEK | ✅ TUTTU | TREASURE ISLAND KG SK | 1 |
| Adana-K3 | ŞAFAK BEY | 0.3892 | BANT | — | AZERBAYCANLI KG DB SK | 5 |
| Adana-K9 | ROYAL ROMANCE | 0.3863 | TEK | ⬜ | — | — |
| İstanbul-K10 | TRUELY | 0.2948 | BANT | — | ETSUKO KG DB SK | 4 |
| Adana-K1 | IVAR | 0.2528 | VETO · ACILIS-KALABALIK | ✅ haklı veto | TAHSİN ALP SK | 7 |
| Adana-K5 | GILMOUR | 0.2051 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | GILMOUR KG DB SK | 1 |
| İstanbul-K4 | BESNİ | 0.1865 | BANT | — | KARAKÖPRÜ ATEŞİ KG DB SK | 4 |
| Adana-K4 | SİGNOMİ | 0.1697 | BANT | — | HERANİ KG K | 2 |
| İstanbul-K1 | O BİR ÇELİK | 0.1569 | BANT | — | UFKUN ÖTESİ DB | 2 |
| İstanbul-K2 | KARANLIK | 0.1321 | BANT | — | ALTIN ADAM K | 3 |
| İstanbul-K6 | GIANT WAVE | 0.1282 | TEK | ❌ | ANSHBA SKY K DB | 2 |
| Adana-K8 | YENAL | 0.1091 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| Adana-K2 | MALCOOBA | 0.1077 | TEK-ADAY | — | EL ALACRAN DB SK | 3 |
| İstanbul-K3 | SÜPER HAN | 0.0977 | BANT | — | ORMELLO SK | 1 |
| İstanbul-K5 | HAREM GÜZELİ | 0.083 | TEK-ADAY | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | HAREM GÜZELİ DB SK | 1 |
| İstanbul-K8 | BATAGAY | 0.0217 | BANT | — | SAROSLU KG SK | 6 |
Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 10 ayağın 1'inde aday yine kazandı (%10). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.
Sert veto: 1 ayakta tetiklendi, 0'inde aday yine kazandı (yanlış veto). Biriken karne: 07-Data/TEK-KARNE.md
Bu tablo
TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.
🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ
Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (32625 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-09-27).
Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %59 (10/17) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %35 (6/17) · kör nokta 0/17
| ayak | kazanan | orkestra sırası | teşhis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana-K1 | TAHSİN ALP | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Adana-K2 | EL ALACRAN | 10 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| Adana-K3 | AZERBAYCANLI | 7 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| Adana-K4 | HERANİ | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Adana-K5 | GILMOUR | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Adana-K6 | TREASURE ISLAND | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Adana-K7 | ARSLAN OĞLU | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K1 | UFKUN ÖTESİ | 3 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İstanbul-K10 | ETSUKO | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K2 | ALTIN ADAM | 9 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| İstanbul-K3 | ORMELLO | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K4 | KARAKÖPRÜ ATEŞİ | 4 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K5 | HAREM GÜZELİ | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İstanbul-K6 | ANSHBA SKY | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K7 | WHIZBANG | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K8 | SAROSLU | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İstanbul-K9 | TURAMUN | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
Trend — son 30 gün
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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">153</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="409.9" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="543.9" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">134</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="336.5" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="470.5" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">110</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="232.5" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="366.5" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">76</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="177.4" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="311.4" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">58</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="15.3" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="149.3" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">5</text></svg>
Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.