🔍 POST-MORTEM
29 Eylül 2026Sim-Race uyumu · 29 Eylül 2026
| koşu | sim ilk 3 | gerçek ilk 3 | kazanan sim # | podyum | uyum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adana 1 | HARPUT MUHAFIZI · SERPENÇE · GÜRLEYİK | HARPUT MUHAFIZI · SERPENÇE · GÜRLEYİK | 1 | 3/3 | 85 |
| Adana 2 | ASTAKOS · ASİLBULUT · HAYATA İNAT GÜLÜMSE | ASİLBULUT · ASİ KADIN · HAYATA İNAT GÜLÜMSE | 2 | 2/3 | 74 |
| Adana 3 | LADY BROWN · MISS DEVRAN · VELİYAN KIZI | MISS DEVRAN · AŞAN STAR · LADY BROWN | 2 | 2/3 | 60 |
| Adana 4 | HIZLI ÖZGÜN · SELİM USTA · ADANALI DEMİR | ADANALI DEMİR · KATI HANIM · KIR ZİNCİRLERİNİ | 3 | 1/3 | 53 |
| Adana 5 | LEADER TULIP · DİNAMİT KIZ · THUNDER HORSE | DİNAMİT KIZ · THUNDER HORSE · NAMASTE | 2 | 2/3 | 71 |
| Adana 6 | ALKANLI · KADER GÜCÜ · MİRŞEŞEN | EMSİDİ · IRMAK SU · KADER GÜCÜ | 5 | 1/3 | 30 |
| Adana 7 | LAMBERHURST · SELANİK ASLANI · LUPELYAN | LAMBERHURST · LUPELYAN · SARI MAMBA | 1 | 2/3 | 76 |
| Adana 8 | ŞİMŞEK ŞAHİN · BÜYÜK PEHLİVAN · ABADBEY | ŞİMŞEK ŞAHİN · ABADBEY · KOYUNEVİ ASLANI | 1 | 2/3 | 51 |
| Adana 9 | SEVDA MEVSİMİ · ÇEŞMEBAŞI YP · EŞAY | EŞAY · LUNA · ÇEŞMEBAŞI YP | 3 | 2/3 | 28 |
TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez
Kart: Adana, Kocaeli
⛔ KART İPTAL: Kocaeli — bu şehrin ayakları sayılmaz (kaynak
07-Data/KART-IPTAL.csv).
🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 1/9 — %11
(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)
AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu
K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)
| ayak | bandımız | kazanan | AGF | sonuç | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | Adana-K1 | ÇELİK PARÇASI · GÜRLEYİK · SERPENÇE · HARPUT MUHAFIZI | HARPUT MUHAFIZI | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K2 | ASTAKOS · ASİLBULUT · ASİ KADIN | ASİLBULUT | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K3 | LADY BROWN · MISS DEVRAN | MISS DEVRAN | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K4 | KIZIM DAMLA · ADANALI DEMİR · HIZLI ÖZGÜN · SILANAZ · SELİM USTA · KIR ZİNCİRLERİNİ · AMİRSOYLU · KATI HANIM · TRABLUS · AMİRSOYLU · BİLKAY | ADANALI DEMİR | 5 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K5 | LEADER TULIP · PALURİ MAN · DİNAMİT KIZ · FAST FOTON · KING BOREAS · AĞA HALİL · THUNDER HORSE · NAMASTE · EURO POWER · FAST FOTON | DİNAMİT KIZ | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K6 | ALKANLI | EMSİDİ | 4 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K7 | LAMBERHURST · SELANİK ASLANI | LAMBERHURST | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K8 | BÜYÜK PEHLİVAN · ŞİMŞEK ŞAHİN · ABADBEY | ŞİMŞEK ŞAHİN | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K9 | ÇEŞMEBAŞI YP · SEVDA MEVSİMİ | EŞAY | 3 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Kocaeli-K1 | MADAM DAISY · FERATUN · KADERİ GÜZEL · TÜMERK · HAMZA KIZI · ASMALI | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — yağış |
| K | Kocaeli-K2 | STEEL STRONG · ŞAMAR · PATRONA HOLİ · VENUS DOOM · AFTER BURNER · FEMALE WARRIOR · DORUKLAR BEYİ · PANCHO · DRAGON BREATH | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — yağış |
| K | Kocaeli-K3 | DOĞANGİR · SERTESEN | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — yağış |
| K | Kocaeli-K4 | HAYDİ SEVDA | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — yağış |
| K | Kocaeli-K5 | SECRET MIRROR · MISS ECDAD · STASERA · I RO · İCRA · JIMDEMA · OX STRIKE · İŞİN ASLI | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — yağış |
| K | Kocaeli-K6 | MY DREAM SERAP · O BİR VAHŞİ · ONLY GIRL | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — yağış |
| K | Kocaeli-K7 | TAŞAN · BOZARSLAN · ASLAN HATİP · SÜPER SONİK · KAYAFATİH | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — yağış |
| K | Kocaeli-K8 | KINALIKAYAM · ERYÜREKLİ · TEYZEOĞLU | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — yağış |
| K | Kocaeli-K9 | DARK VEYRON · LEGENDARY MAJESTY · SERASKER | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — yağış |
| K | Kocaeli-K10 | TANJU BEY | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — yağış |
M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 7/9 — %78
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)
(tüm ayaklar dahil: 7/9 — %78)
KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü
- Adana · K1→K6 — 6. ayakta düştü (Adana-K6 · EMSİDİ)
- Adana · K4→K9 — 3. ayakta düştü (Adana-K6 · EMSİDİ)
- Kocaeli · K1→K6 — ⏳ HENÜZ TAMAMLANMADI (0/6 ayak sonuçlandı, hiç koşulmadı)
- Kocaeli · K5→K10 — ⏳ HENÜZ TAMAMLANMADI (0/6 ayak sonuçlandı, hiç koşulmadı)
SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu
Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?
| ayak | AGF-1 | bantta mıydı | kazandı mı |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana-K1 | Harput Muhafizi | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Adana-K2 | Astakos | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K3 | Lady Brown | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K4 | Hizli Özgün | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K5 | Fast Foton | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K6 | Alkanli | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K7 | Lamberhurst | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Adana-K8 | Şi̇mşek Şahi̇n | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Adana-K9 | Sevda Mevsi̇mi̇ | ✅ | — |
| Kocaeli-K1 | Madam Daisy | ✅ | — |
| Kocaeli-K10 | Tanju Bey | ✅ | — |
| Kocaeli-K2 | Venus Doom | ✅ | — |
| Kocaeli-K3 | Sertesen | ✅ | — |
| Kocaeli-K4 | Haydi̇ Sevda | ✅ | — |
| Kocaeli-K5 | Secret Mirror | ✅ | — |
| Kocaeli-K6 | My Dream Serap | ✅ | — |
| Kocaeli-K7 | Bozarslan | ✅ | — |
| Kocaeli-K8 | Kinalikayam | ✅ | — |
| Kocaeli-K9 | Serasker | ✅ | — |
🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi
Atılan TEK: 0/1 (beklenti ~%53 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))
| ayak | TEK | p | karar | sonuç | kazanan | kazanan AGF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adana-K6 | ALKANLI | 0.5262 | TEK | ❌ | EMSİDİ DB SKG SK | 4 |
| Kocaeli-K1 | MADAM DAISY | 0.4294 | VETO · ACILIS-KALABALIK | ⬜ | — | — |
| Adana-K7 | LAMBERHURST | 0.392 | TEK-ADAY | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | LAMBERHURST KG DB SK | 1 |
| Adana-K3 | LADY BROWN | 0.3413 | TEK-ADAY | — | MISS DEVRAN KG K DB | 2 |
| Adana-K5 | LEADER TULIP | 0.3272 | BANT | — | DİNAMİT KIZ DB SKG SK | 3 |
| Kocaeli-K5 | SECRET MIRROR | 0.3195 | TEK-ADAY | ⬜ | — | — |
| Kocaeli-K4 | HAYDİ SEVDA | 0.3171 | TEK | ⬜ | — | — |
| Kocaeli-K6 | ONLY GIRL | 0.2886 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| Adana-K2 | ASTAKOS | 0.269 | BANT | — | ASİLBULUT KG K DB | 2 |
| Kocaeli-K9 | SERASKER | 0.2583 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| Kocaeli-K8 | ERYÜREKLİ | 0.2346 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| Adana-K9 | SEVDA MEVSİMİ | 0.2055 | BANT | — | EŞAY KG DB SK | 3 |
| Adana-K8 | ŞİMŞEK ŞAHİN | 0.1948 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | ŞİMŞEK ŞAHİN SKG SK | 1 |
| Kocaeli-K3 | SERTESEN | 0.1715 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| Kocaeli-K2 | PATRONA HOLİ | 0.1601 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| Kocaeli-K7 | KAYAFATİH | 0.1172 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| Kocaeli-K10 | TANJU BEY | 0.1126 | TEK | ⬜ | — | — |
| Adana-K4 | HIZLI ÖZGÜN | 0.0805 | BANT | — | ADANALI DEMİR KG DB SK | 5 |
| Adana-K1 | HARPUT MUHAFIZI | 0.0696 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | HARPUT MUHAFIZI KG DB SK | 1 |
Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 6 ayağın 2'inde aday yine kazandı (%33). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.
Bu tablo
TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.
🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ
Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (32644 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-09-29).
Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %67 (6/9) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %11 (1/9) · kör nokta 0/9
| ayak | kazanan | orkestra sırası | teşhis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana-K1 | HARPUT MUHAFIZI | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Adana-K2 | ASİLBULUT | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Adana-K3 | MISS DEVRAN | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Adana-K4 | ADANALI DEMİR | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Adana-K5 | DİNAMİT KIZ | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Adana-K6 | EMSİDİ | 6 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Adana-K7 | LAMBERHURST | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Adana-K8 | ŞİMŞEK ŞAHİN | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Adana-K9 | EŞAY | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
Trend — son 30 gün
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fill="#718096">44.1</text><line x1="48" y1="83.5" x2="624" y2="83.5" stroke="#edf2f7" stroke-width="1"/><text x="42" y="86.5" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#718096">66.3</text><line x1="48" y1="36.0" x2="624" y2="36.0" stroke="#edf2f7" stroke-width="1"/><text x="42" y="39.0" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#718096">88.5</text><text x="48.0" y="242" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:9px" fill="#718096">08-31</text><text x="107.6" y="242" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:9px" fill="#718096">09-03</text><text x="167.2" y="242" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:9px" fill="#718096">09-06</text><text x="226.8" y="242" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:9px" 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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">150</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="390.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="524.0" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">125</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="327.6" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="461.6" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">105</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="224.6" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="358.6" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">72</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="184.1" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="318.1" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">59</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="12.5" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="146.5" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">4</text></svg>
Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.