🔍 POST-MORTEM
2 Ekim 2026Sim-Race uyumu · 2 Ekim 2026
| koşu | sim ilk 3 | gerçek ilk 3 | kazanan sim # | podyum | uyum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursa 1 | ÇUKUROVA EFESİ · CEVATHAN · BARBUDA | ALSAKİB · ÇUKUROVA EFESİ · CEVATHAN | 7 | 2/3 | 36 |
| Bursa 2 | KOÇİNOĞLU · YALNIZ AŞIK · YILDIZBAŞAR | AHSURBİKE · YALNIZ AŞIK · KOÇİNOĞLU | 4 | 2/3 | 54 |
| Bursa 3 | TOUCH OF THUNDER · DRAGON HERO · İSPANOZ | TOUCH OF THUNDER · İSPANOZ · LAST MOMENT | 1 | 2/3 | 70 |
| Bursa 4 | PONCA · ANTIGONIA · MAYBACK | ANTIGONIA · PONCA · MAYBACK | 2 | 3/3 | 77 |
| Bursa 5 | ÖZTATMAR · DEDEMHAMZAREİS · ASLANLI OVA | ASLANLI OVA · DEDEMHAMZAREİS · ÖZTATMAR | 3 | 3/3 | 71 |
| Bursa 6 | KAŞİF KAPTAN · SHERIFF IS BACK · CHAMPIONS | SON CESİ · BOLT NONSTOP · ÇORLİ | 4 | 0/3 | 35 |
| İstanbul 1 | VOLITIVO · PRENS LAUTARO · HOLA Y CHAO | VOLITIVO · HOLA Y CHAO · PRENS LAUTARO | 1 | 3/3 | 90 |
| İstanbul 2 | BEDRAN BEY · BAŞ TABİP · GERLENGEÇ | ÇAĞRI HAN · ÖZGÜN BAŞKAN · GERLENGEÇ | 12 | 1/3 | 31 |
| İstanbul 3 | OPERASYON · MAKUL · DEJAVU | MAKUL · DEJAVU · SMART CHILDREN | 2 | 2/3 | 60 |
| İstanbul 4 | KARTAL · HAVASUPAI · MELONCITTO | MELONCITTO · HAVASUPAI · LEOPARDESS | 3 | 2/3 | 30 |
| İstanbul 5 | SANCAR · KORKUTELİ BEYİ · SÖZÜ GEÇER | KORKUTELİ BEYİ · ASİL MİR · EGETAY | 2 | 1/3 | 64 |
| İstanbul 6 | DEMİR KÜTÜK · FATİH BAŞKAN · ORUNBAY | SERGÜZEŞT · ESDRAGON · TOSBEY | 7 | 0/3 | 41 |
| İstanbul 7 | DENİZ KASIRGASI · GÖKMETE · TİRİLYE KARTALI | TİRİLYE KARTALI · DENİZ KASIRGASI · ZİNCİR KOPARAN | 3 | 2/3 | 68 |
| İstanbul 8 | ÖZMEN BEY · GÜRGÖKBEY · AKSU EFE | ÖZMEN BEY · GÜRGÖKBEY · TOZYUTTURAN | 1 | 2/3 | 83 |
| İstanbul 9 | LAND OF LEGENDS · NART THE BATTLE · JACKAL TROUBLE YP | LAND OF LEGENDS · JACKAL TROUBLE YP · FINALLY ITS TIME | 1 | 2/3 | 86 |
| İstanbul 10 | KARYELİ · PESENHAN · AYNASIZ | TOPCUAĞA · AĞA SABRİNİN ZAFERİ · MAVİ KENT | 5 | 0/3 | 28 |
TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez
Kart: Bursa, İstanbul
🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 3/16 — %19
(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)
AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu
K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)
| ayak | bandımız | kazanan | AGF | sonuç | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | Bursa-K1 | TERCAN HAN · CEVATHAN · ABUZER BABA · BARBUDA · ÇUKUROVA EFESİ · ALYADİGAR · ALSAKİB · AKYEL ABİ · BARBUDA · AKYEL ABİ | ALSAKİB | 5 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Bursa-K2 | KOÇİNOĞLU · GÜREKE HANIM · AHSURBİKE · GÜMÜŞSU · YILDIZBAŞAR · YALNIZ AŞIK | AHSURBİKE | 4 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Bursa-K3 | DRAGON HERO · TOUCH OF THUNDER · LAST MOMENT | TOUCH OF THUNDER | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Bursa-K4 | PONCA · ANTIGONIA | ANTIGONIA | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Bursa-K5 | ÖZTATMAR · PERGA · PAMİRALP | ASLANLI OVA | 3 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Bursa-K6 | SHERIFF IS BACK · KAŞİF KAPTAN · UNDERGROUND | SON CESİ | 4 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K1 | VOLITIVO · PRENS LAUTARO · CRAZYBLOOD | VOLITIVO | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K2 | GERLENGEÇ · BEDRAN BEY · ZİHNİ | ÇAĞRI HAN | 9 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K3 | OPERASYON | MAKUL | 3 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K4 | KARTAL · MELONCITTO · HAVASUPAI · LEOPARDESS | MELONCITTO | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K5 | SANCAR · KORKUTELİ BEYİ · BENİM SULTANIM · LAZMAN · MAHMUT USTA · MİSS KÜBRA · SÖZÜ GEÇER · ASİL MİR · EGETAY · LAZMAN · LEONİDAS | KORKUTELİ BEYİ | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K6 | RACİH · SERGÜZEŞT · FATİH BAŞKAN · DEMİR KÜTÜK · BY REİS · GÖREN ABLA · KAYZE · ORUNBAY | SERGÜZEŞT | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K7 | DENİZ KASIRGASI · GÖKMETE | TİRİLYE KARTALI | 6 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K8 | ÖZMEN BEY | ÖZMEN BEY | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K9 | LAND OF LEGENDS · RAIN BEAUTY | LAND OF LEGENDS | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K10 | SU VADİSİ · PESENHAN · KARYELİ | TOPCUAĞA | 1 | ❌ KAÇTI |
M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 10/16 — %62
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)
(tüm ayaklar dahil: 10/16 — %62)
KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü
- Bursa · K1→K6 — 5. ayakta düştü (Bursa-K5 · ASLANLI OVA)
- İstanbul · K1→K6 — 2. ayakta düştü (İstanbul-K2 · ÇAĞRI HAN)
- İstanbul · K5→K10 — 3. ayakta düştü (İstanbul-K7 · TİRİLYE KARTALI)
SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu
Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?
| ayak | AGF-1 | bantta mıydı | kazandı mı |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bursa-K1 | Çukurova Efesi̇ | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K2 | Koçi̇noğlu | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K3 | Touch Of Thunder | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Bursa-K4 | Ponca | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K5 | Öztatmar | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K6 | Champions | ❌ DIŞARIDA | — |
| İstanbul-K1 | Prens Lautaro | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K10 | Karyeli̇ | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K2 | Özgün Başkan | ❌ DIŞARIDA | — |
| İstanbul-K3 | Operasyon | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K4 | Kartal | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K5 | Sancar | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K6 | Sergüzeşt | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K7 | Deni̇z Kasirgasi | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K8 | Özmen Bey | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K9 | Land Of Legends | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
Bugün: AGF-1 2 ayakta bant dışındaydı, 0 tanesi kazandı.
(n küçük — yön göstergesi, mühür değil. v3.1 §10)
🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi
Atılan TEK: 1/3 (beklenti ~%56 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))
| ayak | TEK | p | karar | sonuç | kazanan | kazanan AGF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbul-K8 | ÖZMEN BEY | 0.6318 | TEK | ✅ TUTTU | ÖZMEN BEY KG DB SK | 1 |
| İstanbul-K9 | LAND OF LEGENDS | 0.567 | TEK-ADAY | ⬜ | — | — |
| İstanbul-K3 | OPERASYON | 0.5355 | TEK | ❌ | MAKUL K DB | 3 |
| İstanbul-K7 | DENİZ KASIRGASI | 0.5202 | BANT | — | TİRİLYE KARTALI KG DB SK | 6 |
| Bursa-K5 | ÖZTATMAR | 0.5025 | TEK | ❌ | ASLANLI OVA KG DB SK | 3 |
| İstanbul-K4 | KARTAL | 0.4807 | TEK-ADAY | — | MELONCITTO SK | 3 |
| Bursa-K4 | PONCA | 0.3895 | BANT | — | ANTIGONIA KG K DB | 2 |
| Bursa-K2 | KOÇİNOĞLU | 0.3793 | BANT | — | AHSURBİKE KG DB SK | 4 |
| İstanbul-K5 | SANCAR | 0.3779 | BANT | — | KORKUTELİ BEYİ KG K DB | 2 |
| Bursa-K3 | TOUCH OF THUNDER | 0.3449 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | TOUCH OF THUNDER DB SK | 1 |
| İstanbul-K1 | VOLITIVO | 0.2712 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | VOLITIVO KG SK | 2 |
| Bursa-K6 | KAŞİF KAPTAN | 0.264 | TEK-ADAY | — | SON CESİ KG DB SK | 4 |
| İstanbul-K6 | DEMİR KÜTÜK | 0.1373 | BANT | — | SERGÜZEŞT | 1 |
| İstanbul-K10 | KARYELİ | 0.1181 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| İstanbul-K2 | BEDRAN BEY | 0.1148 | BANT | — | ÇAĞRI HAN KG SK | 9 |
| Bursa-K1 | ÇUKUROVA EFESİ | 0.1139 | BANT | — | ALSAKİB SK | 5 |
Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 9 ayağın 2'inde aday yine kazandı (%22). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.
Bu tablo
TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.
🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ
Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (32705 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-10-02).
Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %56 (9/16) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %19 (3/16) · kör nokta 0/16
| ayak | kazanan | orkestra sırası | teşhis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bursa-K1 | ALSAKİB | 7 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| Bursa-K2 | AHSURBİKE | 3 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Bursa-K3 | TOUCH OF THUNDER | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Bursa-K4 | ANTIGONIA | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Bursa-K5 | ASLANLI OVA | 3 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Bursa-K6 | SON CESİ | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İstanbul-K1 | VOLITIVO | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K10 | TOPCUAĞA | 13 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| İstanbul-K2 | ÇAĞRI HAN | 7 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| İstanbul-K3 | MAKUL | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K4 | MELONCITTO | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K5 | KORKUTELİ BEYİ | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K6 | SERGÜZEŞT | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K7 | TİRİLYE KARTALI | 7 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| İstanbul-K8 | ÖZMEN BEY | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K9 | LAND OF LEGENDS | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
Trend — son 30 gün
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x="61" y="254" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#2d3748">M1 (bant)</text><circle cx="132" cy="250" r="3.5" fill="#2f855a"/><text x="140" y="254" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#2d3748">M3 (1. sıra)</text></svg>
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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">159</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="362.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="496.0" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">123</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="317.9" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="451.9" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">108</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="217.8" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="351.8" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">74</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="167.8" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="301.8" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">57</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="14.7" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="148.7" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">5</text></svg>
Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.